ELECTION TIME

  • Interesting Emotion Insights from the Presidential Debate

 

The USA election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden is coming up and the campaign is in full swing! You didn’t have time to watch the debate? Don’t worry, TAWNY Emotion AI uncovers the best emotion insights of the protagonists in this article.

 

Presidential Depate Trump Biden

 

A quick overview

 

TAWNY, expert in Emotion Analytics analyzed the five main topics of the debate with its Emotion AI technology: Fighting Covid-19, National Security, Health Care/American families, Race in America, and Climate Change. It was a true rollercoaster ride for both candidates. Overall, negative vibes dominated the conversation with the average valence score (-1: highly negative, 0: mid-range: 1: highly positive) always being below zero. Trump was the most negatively activated when speaking about Covid-19 and Biden about National Security. Most positive emotions were shown during the Health Care/American Families topic for Trump, and Climate Change for Biden. On average across all topics, Biden was the “cooler” actor with a much lower arousal score (a range from calm to very excited) than his opponent.

 


 

Covid-19 was the first hot topic on the agenda and it definitely got heated. Out of the five main topics that they debated about; this was Trump’s least favorite. He showed the most negative emotions during the discussion, whereas both Trump’s and Biden’s average arousal levels were comparable.

 

Emotion Insights Election Depate

 

Using emotion tracking, TAWNY could identify that Biden did not hold back showing his unhappiness to the way that President Trump handled the Covid-19 crisis during the past months. His negative valence peaked when he said:

 

See number 1 in the graph:

 

He says we are learning to live with it -- people are dying with it! You folks who have an empty chair at the kitchen table, that man or woman reaching over where their wife or husband was is gone - learning to live with it? Come on, we are dying with it… You say, I take no responsibility.

 

Interestingly, when Biden accused Trump of taking no responsibility for the situation, Trump actually showed the most positive emotions stating:

 

See number 2 in the graph:  

 

“I take full responsibility. It’s not my fault that it came here, it’s China’s fault.”

 

… hmm sounds a bit contradicting? Perhaps this is a part of his tactic.

 

 

The second topic on the agenda was National Security, clearly visible to be Biden’s least favorite topic of the evening but still remaining calm. He was very keen to clear up some suspicions regarding Trump’s connections to Russia and Iran, as well as his disappearing tax returns.

 

Trump went from his highest to his lowest valence score when Biden said:

 

I released all my tax returns. 22 years - go look at them. You have not released a single solitary year of your tax return. What are you hiding? Why are you unwilling? Foreign countries are paying you a lot. Russia is paying you a lot. China is paying you a lot (high valence, there was even smile on Trump’s face, which did not happen very often during the debate) … 

 ... China is building a new road to a golf course you have overseas, So what's going on? Release your tax return or stop talking about corruption. (most negative valence)

 

 

Trump did some accusing himself, making Biden sweat. There were 5 occasions where Biden’s heart rate went up over 80 beats per minute. We use a technique called remote photoplethysmography, which is just a fancy word for "analyzing the subtle changes of the subject's skin color which correlate with their heartbeats". 

 

On the other hand, we did see two big smiles from the former vice president – although sarcastic ones at such. The highest sympathy-happiness level was reached when Trump said:

 

First of all, I called my accountants under audit. I'm going to release my tax returns. It will show how great this country is."

 

 

Third topic of the evening was health care and American families. Interestingly, this was the topic where Trump and Biden’s valence and arousal levels were the most similar to each other. Who knew? Maybe there is one topic in this world where they can actually agree on something?

 

As the case for many of the other topics, Trump showed the most positive emotions when Biden was speaking, whereas Biden was the most positive when Trump was speaking. Surely, the laughs were not genuine. Biden won this contest with 5 peaks of laughter, mainly when he was being accused by his opponent, such as:

 

He was there for 47 years. He did not do it. He was now there as vice president for eight years, and it's not like it was 25 years ago. It was just a little while ago, right? He did not do anything. 

 

 

Moving on to the fourth topic, Race in America. This discussion revolved around immigration and the highly controversial topic of the border to Mexico.

 

During this sequence, Trump showed a lot more volatility (up and down) in his emotions than Biden that stayed calmer and more collected. Overall, the atmosphere in the room was very tense with both candidates expressing similar levels of negative emotions.

 

Donald Trump’s emotional leaps were at their highest point during this section where he criticizes the catch and release strategy stating that:

 

We have to release them into our country and then you say they come back. Less than 1% of the people come back. We have to send border patrol out to find them ...You say they come back, they don't come back...  Only the really - I hate to say this, but those with the lowest IQ, they might come back.

 

As a reaction to the last comment, Biden just shakes his head and has a decline in valence for obvious reasons.

 

 

The fifth and FINAL topic that they debated about is Greta’s favorite topic, Climate Change. During this sequence, the candidates had very similar arousal levels but showed large differences in valence as this was the topic where Biden showed the most positive engagement. Although Trump was generally not so amused, Biden managed to get 3 smiles out of him.

 

The conversation was actually quite amusing... it revolved mainly around windows? Small windows, big windows, no windows... Wait, what was the topic again? Oh right, climate change.

 

Biden argues that America’s future lies in its ability to breathe clean air, while accusing Trump of thinking that wind causes cancer. This resulted in Trump’s highest valence score whereas Biden laughed at his counter-argument “I know more about wind than you do.” Great, that’s what everyone looks for in a president right?

 

The evening ended with a one-minute speech from each candidate about why they should get elected. Convinced? Now it’s your turn, American friends – go vote!

 

 

TAWNY Emotion AI SaaS software can conduct facial expression analysis from video material for many different use cases. The benefits are:

 

  • Identify the most emotionally engaging moments
  • Detect moments with peaks in valence and arousal
  • Observe moment-by-moment how automatic reactions are shaped
  • Learn how emotions change over time
  • Compare emotions between people, stimuli or events
  • Test the impact of music and voice-overs
  • Support decision-making to better forecast media spending budgets
  • Collect quantified emotion data to predict media performance criteria such as brand recall, intention to buy or likelihood to share...and many more!

 

Interested in learning how you can utilize emotion AI? Just send us an email – we would love to hear from you.

 
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